Due to defamation? "Restriction on purchasing and control of blockage" has been questioned ineffectively

“Because of the impact of the limited-car policy, Beijing’s economic growth in the first half of this year has dropped by one percentage point. To prevent the economic growth from falling, we need to return to the healthy development of the automobile industry.” Recently, at the 2011 China Automotive Industry Development International Forum Yao Jingyuan, the former chief economist of the National Bureau of Statistics, told reporters that in solving the problem of traffic congestion, we must not restrain the development of the auto industry, but must think of ways to speed up road construction, speed up the construction of three-dimensional traffic and public transportation, and at the same time strengthen the level of traffic management. Can not be limited to limited cars.

"I am very much in the opinion of restricting the purchase. The restriction is equal to the fact that the deficiencies of other departments are pushed to the department of the automobile, which is very unscientific. The traffic department's own work is not good, use this simple and boring way, actually It is impossible to solve the problem. Actually, this is a problem at the government level.” Chen Zutao, a veteran of the automotive industry and general manager of the former China Automotive Industry Corporation, pointed out the drawbacks of restricting purchase and control. Zhao Hang, director of the China Automotive Technology and Research Center, made it clear that the central government should stop the local government's purchase restriction policy.

This is yet another criticism of the industry's policy on restricting purchases and repression. In July this year, when the industry explored the effect of Beijing's car-restricting policy, the Guiyang Provisional Provisions on the Administration of Minibuses Issued on Special Sections of Passenger Cars once again caused an uproar. Guiyang is the second capital city in China following the introduction of restrictions on purchases after Beijing. Many people are concerned that, influenced by this, a series of large and medium-sized cities will successively introduce similar restrictions on purchase policies, making the auto market in the sluggish economy this year worse.

In fact, at the end of last year, after the introduction of a car-restricted policy in Beijing, the industry repeatedly questioned the effectiveness of this measure. For Guiyang's limited-vehicle policy, it was put under pressure to publish it. One commonly accepted explanation is that the construction period of public transport, subway and other infrastructure is long, and urban planning and traffic management require high manpower and material costs. The measures are simple and effective, which has attracted some cities to imitate.

However, the cost of car restriction is huge. After the implementation of the car-restricting policy in Beijing for six months, its negative effects have been highlighted. Such problems as the closing of dealerships, the unemployed sales personnel, the sharp decline in the sales of independent brands, and the increase in the cost of consumer car purchases. In the first half of the year, the entire automotive industry also slowed down. According to data from the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, in the first seven months of this year, the total production and sales of domestically produced automobiles reached 10.46224 million units and 10.610 million units, an increase of only 2.33% and 3.22% year-on-year, and the rate of increase has dropped sharply from the same period of last year.

The restriction of purchase policies on own brands is even more obvious. The data show that from January to July this year, passenger cars sold a total of 3.533.4 million independent brands (including 1.331 million micro-car sales), a year-on-year decrease of 1.03%, accounting for 43.37% of the total sales of passenger cars, and the market share The same period last year dropped 3.06%. Among the self-owned brand car companies, BYD and Changan both fell more than 10%. “The purchase restriction policy has increased the cost of car purchases for consumers, so it is easy to have a car purchase opportunity and choose a one-step purchase of a joint venture vehicle.” Zhang Jianwei, deputy director of the China Automotive Technology and Research Center, believes that it is so difficult to apply for a license now, although restrictions have not yet been introduced around the country. . However, consumers may be worried that one day they will be restricted, they will simply buy a good car. This impact on the auto market, especially on self-owned brand models, is significant, and it is extremely unfavorable for the development of independent brands.

“The original intention of limiting the car is to solve the problem of traffic congestion in Guiyang, and to make people travel smoothly. However, limiting the car is not the fundamental way to solve the traffic jam in Guiyang. The government should look for a solution to the congestion from a long-term perspective.” The introduction of a car restriction policy in Guiyang Afterwards, Song Ming, director of the Regional Economic Research Institute of the Guizhou Academy of Social Sciences, said that although limited traffic can ease traffic congestion, it will not achieve a permanent cure.

The failure of Beijing to stop traffic jams has become the best footnote for these remarks. Although the traffic restriction policy has been implemented for more than half a year and has paid a high cost, the traffic conditions in the capital still have not improved fundamentally. In the middle and late June of this year, the results of the traffic slowdown opinion poll initiated by the Beijing Municipal Traffic Committee showed that 52.77% of the voters believed that the blockade had no effect.

In the interview, most people agreed that traffic congestion cannot be attributed to one more factor. When investigating the cause of traffic congestion in Guiyang, a person from the National Development and Reform Commission vividly described: “The static traffic problem in Guiyang is serious, and infrastructure construction such as parking lots and parking spaces lags behind. Many people stop the car illegally by the roadside, and the blood vessels wall. All are fat, like high blood fat patients."

In this regard, Xiong Chuanlin, deputy secretary general of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, shares the same opinion. “Traffic congestion is the cause of both traffic management and urban planning, as well as the reasons consumers use their cars. It cannot be attributed to the full number of vehicles. Therefore, the government cannot simply rely on such a single measure to limit traffic congestion.”

“Our country’s average vehicle consumes more than two tons of fuel a year, and developed countries don’t exceed one ton, which shows that the frequency of domestic car use is too high. This is because consumers have excessive reliance on cars, and on the other hand, they explain domestic public transport. It is not convenient enough to provide consumers with better travel plans. Therefore, it is not the restriction of purchasing, but rather the rational planning of public transport and urbanization development to improve the efficiency and comfort of the people.”

For the purpose of solving traffic congestion, the original chief economist of the National Bureau of Statistics, Yao Jingyuan, proposed that the first step is to build more roads. If the road construction is faster than the production of the car, there will be no congestion. As long as the road growth is lower than the growth of the car, it is certainly a blocking trend. If we want to make the road grow faster than the growth of the car, we need scientific planning capabilities and management levels. “Automobiles provide tax revenues for the government through purchase tax, fuel tax, etc. The government can use the roads to build a virtuous circle for the development of cars and roads. The problems of cars and roads should not curb the development of vehicles. Instead, they must Accelerating the development of roads will not only solve the problem of traffic congestion, but will also benefit the development of the automobile industry and even the economy."

"Hong Kong has a smaller land area than Beijing, a denser population than Beijing, and no longer the widest street on Chang'an Avenue, but Hong Kong does not block traffic. What are the reasons? Because it has taken many measures, such as increasing subways and public transportation. I think In solving the problem of traffic jams, we must not restrain the development of the auto industry, but must think of ways to speed up the construction of roads, speed up the construction of three-dimensional traffic and public transportation, and at the same time strengthen the level of traffic management. This is a comprehensive solution. Take measures such as restricting lines and increasing congestion charges to ease congestion, said Yao Jingyuan.