New energy vehicle development slow local policy or will be issued centrally

On July 9, the "2012 China Automotive Industry Development Report" co-edited by the Department of Industrial Economics of the Development Research Center of the State Council, the China Automotive Engineering Society, and the Volkswagen Group (China) was officially released. This is the third time that the three parties have jointly launched the annual research report on the Chinese automobile industry since 2008. The theme of this year’s report is the energy-saving and new energy vehicles that have attracted much attention.

It can be seen from the report that although China’s new energy vehicles have made continuous progress, due to slow progress, the gap has widened with the global development level. In spite of this, industry insiders believe that local new energy automobile policies will be introduced centrally in the next year or two. With the rapid development of enterprise technology research and development, the gradual introduction of local new energy policies, and the broad and diverse market demands, China's new energy automotive technology will accelerate development.

Slower development rate Since the development of new energy vehicles in China, technological progress has made great progress, but the gap with the world is still widening. According to industry insiders, this is mainly due to problems in the industrial technology base, manufacturing capabilities, policy formulation, and joint R&D.

The report pointed out that, from a global perspective, hybrid vehicles are rapidly developing globally and have taken the lead in industrialization. Due to power battery technology and charging infrastructure, pure electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles have just entered the industry introduction period. It is estimated that from 2013 to 2015, the world will usher in the industrialization of pure electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid vehicles.

Although China has made great progress in energy-saving and new energy vehicle technologies, the development of some areas has lags behind, leading to a widening gap with the world. The report shows that the development of hybrid vehicles in China is unbalanced. Parallel and idling start and stop programs are often adopted. Hybrid hybrid power, especially in the hybrid control system and power coupling, is almost blank, resulting in the fuel saving rate of domestic hybrid passenger vehicles. It is 15%-20%, which is half of foreign products. Pure electric vehicles have become the focus of research and development for electric vehicles in China's auto companies. At present, 49 models of pure electric passenger cars and 113 models of commercial vehicles have been announced, but high-performance pure electric vehicles still lag behind foreign advanced products in reliability and engineering capabilities.

Feng Fei, Minister of Industry and Economic Research at the Development Research Center of the State Council pointed out that the development of new energy vehicles in China is slow, mainly due to the disadvantages of three aspects: China's vehicle companies have no basis in terms of batteries, motors, electrical control and integration, which makes In the development process, its power is not enough; while the basic technology research is not solid, such as electrochemistry, materials technology, etc., China's battery technology does not yet have the conditions to completely replace the traditional car; in terms of policy, some organizations outside the system in a certain Breakthroughs have been made in these core technological links, and even the critical point of breakthrough in industrialization, but there are some problems in access.

Zhang Haoxin, executive vice president of Volkswagen Group (China), believes that battery technology, cost, and other issues, it is still far from the conditions for mass production. The company's mature new energy automotive products are intended to delay the time to market, in addition to cost issues, as well as a series of issues such as after-sales service. This is a challenge that all auto companies face, and this requires cooperation on a global scale. At present, the joint awareness of Chinese companies is not enough, which restricts the development of the industry.

In response, Zhang Ning, deputy secretary-general of the Chinese Association of Automobile Engineers and executive dean of the Automotive Industry Research Institute, believes that building an innovation chain around the industrial chain and building a technological innovation alliance will form a benign mechanism for joint investment, risk sharing, and benefit sharing. Technological progress is very necessary.

Local policies may be introduced in a centralized manner. Guangzhou has just introduced a purchase restriction policy, which further pressures the traditional passenger car market. The industry believes that the purchase restriction policy has an encouraging effect on new energy vehicles; it is expected to become a centralized period for the local new energy automobile policy in the next year or two, or it will effectively stimulate greater market vitality.

Experts in the industry believe that although China’s new energy vehicles are lagging behind the world’s advanced level at the current stage, in fact, many companies are in a state of ready to go, and the current gap will not necessarily continue to widen in the future. Not only this, driven by the central policy, the gradual introduction of local new energy automobile policies will promote the accelerated development of the new energy automotive industry.

Feng Fei, Minister of Industry and Economic Research at the Development Research Center of the State Council pointed out that under the pressure of PM2.5, local governments have many considerations of the environment, which will become the main driving force for local governments to develop new energy vehicles. For example, after the introduction of the Guangzhou Auto Restriction Policy, it is certain that other cities will follow suit and introduce similar policies. The unlimited purchase of new energy vehicles, unlimited line, is a very effective stimulus policy. After the introduction of the purchase restriction policy, the local government will issue a new energy automobile policy in the follow-up period. In the next year or two, it may be the centralized introduction of local new energy automobile policies.

In addition, Feng Fei pointed out that although China's new energy vehicles are technically disadvantageous, they have outstanding market advantages.

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